北约国家陷入危机：欧盟最大经济体成为普京对乌克兰战争的附带损害？

A NATO Nation In Crisis: EU’s Largest Economy Becoming Collateral Damage Of Putin’s War On Ukraine?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TEcqVto6blg

印度斯坦时报 2024年9月6日

在乌克兰与俄罗斯持续的战争中，德国经济遭受了意外打击，在第二季度萎缩了 0.1%，而今年早些时候，德国经济勉强避免了衰退。最近有报道称，德国标志性汽车制造商大众汽车正考虑在其 87 年历史上首次关闭德国工厂，这加剧了经济衰退。推动这一趋势的因素是什么？请观看此视频以了解详情。

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德国在过去几年中苦苦挣扎，事情已经到了这样的地步，欧洲最大的经济体正在萎缩，不仅仅是制造业在苦苦挣扎，问题是一个系统性问题。最近，德意志银行首席执行官克里斯蒂安·西恩敦促德国人更加努力地帮助恢复该国经济，如果这种趋势不尽快逆转，该国经济将面临更大的问题。他在法兰克福银行峰会上说，我引用投资者的话，他们已经在怀疑我们改革的能力，尤其是我们实现更多增长的能力和意愿，只有我们也改变工作态度，我们才能实现。如果我们准备以不同的方式工作，但总的来说，要工作更多、更努力，西恩还认为德国应该接受更长的工作周，平均每周工作时间超过 28 小时。

最近有消息称，德国汽车制造商大众汽车正在考虑是否在其 87 年历史上首次关闭德国工厂，这加剧了市场的恐慌。这家汽车公司一直在应对高昂的制造成本和来自中国电动汽车制造商日益激烈的竞争。凸显了曾经是德国经济基石的制造业正面临困境和新挑战让我们先谈谈收缩德国经济在年初避开衰退后，在第二季度意外收缩德国第二季度国内生产总值与前三个月相比收缩了0.1%路透社分析师曾预测，调整后的经济将环比增长0.1%，而第一季度经济增长了0.2%德国是去年表现最差的主要经济体，国内生产总值收缩了0.3%。

由于周期性和结构性逆风的共同作用，该国在2024年初接近衰退，那么为什么会发生这种情况呢新冠疫情和俄罗斯乌克兰战争暴露了欧元区旗舰经济体的严重裂痕，而该国仍在努力应对高通胀和大规模裁员的后疫情影响乌克兰战争使其制造业和出口强国几乎陷入停滞德国严重依赖俄罗斯的天然气，其全球知名的汽车制造业依赖于俄罗斯的天然气玻璃行业主要依靠这些行业来推动德国的出口和经济。缺乏廉价的天然气供应和替代品，促使许多旗舰制造公司将工厂迁往德国境外。专家称这种趋势为国家去工业化。

根据德国最近的调查，在能源混乱的情况下，2 家和 3 家德国公司已经将主要业务迁往国外。最后但并非最不重要的是移民危机。企业增长放缓导致失业率上升，消费者支出减少。大规模难民危机也成为经济的一个问题。根据联合国难民署的数据，德国已成为世界第三大难民接收国，也是欧盟最大的难民接收国。目前，在该国 250 万难民中，有 100 多万来自乌克兰。这也导致了民众的社会动荡。

A NATO Nation In Crisis: EU’s Largest Economy Becoming Collateral Damage Of Putin’s War On Ukraine?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TEcqVto6blg
Hindustan Times 2024年9月6日 

Amid the ongoing Ukraine-Russia war, Germany’s economy has taken an unexpected hit, contracting by 0.1% in the second quarter after narrowly avoiding recession earlier this year. This downturn is compounded by recent reports that Volkswagen, the iconic German carmaker, is considering closing factories in Germany for the first time in its 87-year history. What are the factors driving this? Watch this to find out.
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Germany is struggling over the last few years things have come to such a pass that Europe's biggest economy is Contracting it's not just the manufacturing sector which is struggling the problem is systemic recently Christian seing the CEO of Deutsche Bank
urged Germans to work harder to help restore the country's economy which is at the brink of bigger problems if the trend is not reversed soon enough at a banking Summit in Frankfurt he said and I quote investors are already doubting our ability to reform but especially our ability and our will to perform more growth in Germany will come only if we also change our attitude to work if we are prepared to work differently but overall to work more and harder sowing also argued that Germany should embrace longer work weeks with an average of more than 28 hours per week recent news reports of German car maker Volkswagen weighing whether to close factories in Germany for the first time in its 87-year history has added to the panic in the market the auto company has been dealing with high manufacturing costs and Rising competition from China's EV makers the development highlighted how manufacturing which was once the Cornerstone of the German economy is facing troubles and new challenges let's talk about the contraction first the German economy unexpectedly contracted in the second quarter order after skirting a recession at the beginning of the year Germany's gross domestic product contracted by 0.1% in the second quarter compared with the previous 3-month period analysts pulled by Reuters had forecast a 0.1% quarter on quarter increase in adjusted terms following 0.2% economic growth in the first quarter Germany was the worst performing major economy last year with gross domestic product Contracting by 0.3% the country came close to recession at the start of 2024 due to a combination of cyclical and structural headwinds so why is this happening covid-19 pandemic and Russia Ukraine war exposed deep cracks in the flagship economy of the Euro Zone while the country was still grappling with post-pandemic effects of high inflation and mass layoffs war in Ukraine brought its manufacturing industry and Export Powerhouse to almost a standstill Germany was heavily dependent on Russia for natural gas on which its globally acclaimed auto manufacturing and glass industry runs on these industries primarily powered German exports and the German economy lack of cheap supply of natural gas and lack of Alternatives has prompted many Flagship manufacturing companies to move their plants outside Germany experts call this trend de-industrialization of the country as per recent survey by by deoy 2 and three German companies have already moved their Prime operations outside the country amid the energy chaos last but not the least the immigration crisis this slowdown at companies is Raising unemployment and decreasing consumer spending what has also become a problem for the economy is the mass Refugee crisis Germany has become the third largest Refugee hosting country in the world and largest in the EU according to the UN Refugee agency presently out of the 2.5 million refugees in the country more than 1 million are from Ukraine alone this is also causing social unrest amongst the population.