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Michael Hudson 美国帝国的全球霸权计划

已有 218 次阅读2025-6-30 06:55 |个人分类:Michael Hudson

迈克尔·赫德森:美国帝国的全球霸权计划

伊夫·史密斯 2025年6月28日
https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2025/06/michael-hudson-the-u-s-empires-plan-for-global-domination.html

我是伊夫。去喝杯咖啡吧。以下是本·诺顿与迈克尔·哈德森的另一场内容丰富的讨论,他以美以与伊朗的战争作为切入点,探讨中东在美国霸权中的角色。

尽管这次谈话中有很多精彩的内容,但我仍然无法苟同哈德森关于20世纪70年代石油危机期间美元与沙特阿拉伯达成的循环使用谅解的性质的观点。该框架并非由财政部的比尔·西蒙制定,而是由亨利·基辛格和美国国务院在与沙特,尤其是其强大的石油部长沙特·费萨尔的谈判中制定的。关键文件,包括重要会议的详细记录,已解密并发布在美国国务院网站上。这些文件明确指出,美国财政部在这些安排中只是次要角色(例如,他们很少参与基辛格和美国国务院与沙特·费萨尔及其他沙特高级官员的会谈)。

基辛格和他的团队将他们的担忧概括为如何“回收”沙特人囤积的美元。他们努力说服沙特人集中购买美国国债,是为了防止他们转而吸纳美国的生产性资产:包括上市公司和私营企业的权益、商业地产、农田、银行(例如,阿尔·瓦利德王子在20世纪90年代初对至关重要的花旗银行的拯救,该银行作为美国金融旗舰,为美国跨国公司和小型出口商提供支付服务,发挥着关键作用)。大规模控制生产性资产将赋予沙特酋长国巨大的政治权力。

我不同意沙特人在20世纪70年代有很多其他选择,可以将美元再投资到美国以外的任何地方(正如我之前所述,他们确实在伦敦豪掷千金,购入了大量高档住宅区梅菲尔区)。美国是全球主导经济体,即使在石油危机期间,也拥有强劲的增长前景。美国金融市场是当时最深厚、流动性最强、监管最完善的市场。美国的信息披露和投资者保护措施,例如禁止抢先交易和串通投标,都超过了当时任何其他市场。当时还没有欧元,所以另一种选择是投资规模小得多的国内市场,例如英国或德国,因为这些国家缺乏易于交易的投资产品。1984年,当我在伦敦花旗银行为全球最大的外汇交易部门进行研究时,主要的货币“交叉盘”是美元。

美国在为投资者提供安全机制方面所发挥的突出作用一直持续到20世纪90年代初,这一点可以参见1994年《哈佛商业评论》上Amar Bhide(他经常采用逆向思维,而且不天真;此外,他还经营着一家自营交易公司)的文章来佐证。

自1983年开始,以交易所为基础的石油期货市场的发展进一步巩固了美元在石油贸易中的地位(需要注意的是,像飞利浦兄弟公司这样的大宗商品交易商,虽然收购了所罗门兄弟公司,但随后遭到反向收购,而在此之前,他们一直在安排私人对冲)。

尽管20世纪70年代与沙特的谈判确实确保了沙特同意持有大量美元国债,但美元作为储备货币的持续作用取决于美国持续的贸易逆差,而不是石油贸易。石油美元论证的最大反证是,在1997年亚洲金融危机后,中国和东南亚国家积极积累了大量外汇余额。这些国家(中国除外)一直受到国际货币基金组织的“温柔救助”,不希望这种情况再次发生。因此,他们操纵本币兑美元汇率相对低廉,从而保持持续的贸易顺差,并积累大量美元资产以备不时之需。如果他们再次面临货币危机的风险,这将使他们能够大规模干预。这一行动显然与石油贸易无关。同样,日本在20世纪80年代制造业占据主导地位并对美国保持巨额贸易顺差期间,也积累了大量美国国债。

原载于《地缘政治经济观察》杂志,作者:本·诺顿

您可以在此处阅读迈克尔·哈德森的相关文章:对伊朗的战争是为了争夺美国对世界的单极控制权。

引言

本·诺顿:美国为何如此关注伊朗?

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普承认,华盛顿想要的是德黑兰政权更迭,推翻伊朗政府。

特朗普在6月份支持对伊朗的战争,美以两国直接轰炸了伊朗领土。

特朗普声称,在他所谓的美以对伊朗发动的“十二日战争”之后,他促成了停火。但很难相信这项停火能够持续下去。

尤其考虑到特朗普在一月份也说过同样的话。他声称

美军在加沙地带斡旋停火,但两个月后的3月,以色列再次挑起战争,因为特朗普允许以色列违反他协助斡旋的停火协议。

因此,伊朗官员很难相信停火能够真正维持下去。即使短期内能够维持,现实情况是,美国政府几十年来一直在对伊朗发动政治战争和经济战争,最早可以追溯到1953年,当时美国发动政变,推翻了伊朗民选总理穆罕默德·摩萨台,扶植了亲美独裁者沙阿·穆罕默德·礼萨·巴列维。

那么,为什么会这样呢?华盛顿想从对伊朗无休止的政治和经济战争中得到什么?

为了回答这个问题,我采访了著名经济学家迈克尔·哈德森,他著述颇丰,是全球政治经济学专家。

迈克尔·哈德森发表了一篇文章,概述了这场针对伊朗的战争的经济和政治原因,并认为这是美国帝国试图在世界范围内建立单极秩序的一部分,就像我们在20世纪90年代所看到的那样,当时美国是唯一的超级大国,可以将其政治和经济意志强加于地球上几乎所有国家。

伊朗是极少数真正抵制美国单极霸权的国家之一。今天,随着世界日益多极化,我们看到伊朗作为金砖国家成员以及抵抗组织的支持者发挥着重要作用。

正如经济学家迈克尔·哈德森在这篇文章中所描述的那样,伊朗正在推动一个更加多极化的世界,以对抗美国帝国的单极统治。

哈德森写道:

美国试图控制中东及其石油资源,以此巩固其经济实力,并阻止其他国家摆脱以美国为中心的新自由主义秩序,建立自主权。该秩序由国际货币基金组织、世界银行和其他机构管理,旨在巩固美国的单极权力。

在今天的讨论中,迈克尔将这场冲突所涉及的所有不同因素联系在一起,包括西亚(即所谓的中东地区)的石油、天然气和其他资源;美元和石油美元体系的作用;以及伊朗作为金砖国家以及许多其他全球南方国家如何去美元化并寻求美元的替代品。

我们还讨论了该地区的地缘政治,以及中国、伊朗和俄罗斯之间的贸易路线和互联互通,这是欧亚一体化项目的一部分;我们还讨论了美国和以色列的地缘政治目标;等等。

以下是我们对话的摘录,然后我们直接进入采访内容:

迈克尔·赫德森:我们在过去一个月——或者应该说是过去两年——看到的是美国自二战以来长期战略的顶峰,即完全控制近东石油产区,使其成为美国的代理人,并由沙特阿拉伯和约旦国王等附庸统治。

伊朗对俄罗斯南部边境构成军事威胁,因为如果美国能够在伊朗建立一个附庸政权,或者将伊朗分裂成能够干扰俄罗斯向南通往印度洋的贸易走廊的民族群体,那么你就已经限制了俄罗斯,限制了中国,并且成功孤立了他们。

这就是当前的美国外交政策。如果你能够孤立那些不愿加入美国国际金融和贸易体系的国家,那么人们就会认为这些国家无法独立生存;它们太小了。

美国仍然活在1955年印度尼西亚万隆不结盟运动的时代。当其他国家想要单打独斗时,它们的经济规模太小。

但今天,在现代历史上,你第一次有了欧亚大陆的选择,包括俄罗斯、中国、伊朗以及它们之间的所有邻国。这些国家第一次足够强大,不需要与美国进行贸易和投资。

事实上,尽管美国及其在欧洲的北约盟友正在萎缩——它们是去工业化的、新自由主义的后工业经济体——但世界生产、制造和贸易的大部分增长都发生在中国,同时中国还控制着稀土、钴、甚至铝以及许多其他材料的原材料精炼。

因此,美国孤立俄罗斯、中国及其在金砖国家或上海合作组织中的任何盟友的战略尝试最终只会使自己陷入孤立。它正在迫使其他国家做出选择。

这是当今世界美国能为其他国家提供的唯一东西。它无法提供出口,也无法提供货币稳定。

美国能为世界提供的唯一东西就是避免摧毁他们的经济,避免造成经济混乱。

特朗普威胁要通过关税来做到这一点,他还威胁要对任何试图创造美元替代品的国家采取同样的措施。

因此,这顿“免费午餐”就此诞生:其他国家可以赚取美元,但必须把这些美元转借给美国。而美国作为他们的银行家,必须持有所有美元,而银行家可以决定向谁付款,不向谁付款。

这是一个黑帮国家。正因为如此,它被称为黑帮国家。其他国家担心美国可能采取的行动,不仅是在唐纳德·特朗普领导下,还有它过去50年来一直在做的事情。它只是在没收、破坏稳定和推翻。

美国基本上已经向任何试图建立一个不受美国控制的国际贸易和投资体系的企图宣战,美国出于自身利益,想要从中获得所有收益,所有收入,而不仅仅是其中的一部分。这是一个贪婪的帝国。

访谈

本·诺顿:迈克尔,感谢您接受我的采访。非常荣幸您能来参加我们的访谈。

我们来谈谈您撰写的这篇文章。您在文中指出,对伊朗的战争是美国试图将其单极霸权强加于世界的一部分。

我们看到,我们正生活在一个日益多极化的世界,伊朗作为金砖国家、上海合作组织以及中国和俄罗斯的合作伙伴,在多极化进程中发挥着重要作用。伊朗也一直在推动全球金融体系的去美元化。

请谈谈您如何看待对伊朗的战争——这场战争并非始于唐纳德·特朗普时期,而是多年前就已开始——以及您作为一名经济学家对此的看法。

迈克尔·赫德森:嗯,对伊朗的战争始于1953年,当时美国和军情六处推翻了民选总理穆罕默德·摩萨台,而他被推翻的原因是他想要将伊朗的石油储备国有化。美国一直将伊朗视为近东石油海湾的一部分。

就其对外贸易武器化而言,美国的外交政策始终基于两种商品:粮食——有能力停止向反对美国政策的国家出口粮食,就像美国在毛泽东时代停止向中国出口粮食一样——以及石油。

一个世纪以来,美国一直专注于控制石油,以此作为其国际贸易平衡的基础——它是贸易平衡的最大贡献者——以及它制裁世界其他国家的能力,通过切断石油供应,从而切断那些脱离美国政策的国家的电力、天然气和家庭供暖。

20世纪70年代初,我在哈德逊研究所工作时,赫尔曼·卡恩带我去见几位将军,讨论如何应对伊朗,以防在沙阿统治下,伊朗再次试图主张自治并自行其是。

伊朗一直是整个近东地区最强大的国家,也是控制近东的基石。由于伊朗人口规模庞大、经济实力雄厚,你不可能完全控制近东的石油——叙利亚、伊拉克以及那里的其他国家——而不控制伊朗。

那是一次非常有趣的会议。赫尔曼·卡恩,这位《奇爱博士》的原型,讨论了如何将伊朗分裂成不同的民族,五六个民族,以便它采取独立于美国的政策。

早在50年前的20世纪70年代,美国的担忧就是:“如果其他国家不遵循我们正在构建的国际秩序,我们该怎么办?”

赫尔曼说,他认为国际新闻即将爆发的危机点将是俾路支省,位于伊朗与巴基斯坦的边境。俾路支人是一个独特的群体,就像阿塞拜疆人、阿塞拜疆人、库尔德人一样。

伊朗由多个民族组成,其中包括一个庞大的犹太群体。它是一个多民族社会,美国的战略是,如果与伊朗开战,就利用这些民族——就像美国为俄罗斯制定了类似的计划,如何将其分裂成不同的民族部分;以及为中国制定了类似的计划,如何在美国想要与之交战时,将中国分裂成不同的民族部分。

这种民族分裂之所以形成,是因为作为一个民主国家,尤其是在20世纪70年代,美国显然再也无法像在越南那样派遣军队进行入侵。

我参加这次会议的时候,我记得是1974年末或1975年初,那里发生了示威活动。显然,征兵制再也不可能了。

没有军事力量,美国如何发挥其国际影响力?它在世界各地都有军事基地;它的军事开支比任何其他国家都多。

美国的全部国际收支逆差都来自海外军费开支,但这笔钱却无法用于

它不得不使用代理人。

当时,除了我参与讨论如何利用我们宣战国家的族裔作为对手之外,美国还决定在近东建立最大的军事基地,那就是以色列。

支持战争的军工复合体参议员亨利·杰克逊与赫尔曼·卡恩会面——电话打过来的时候,我当时就在赫尔曼的办公室里,听着他们的谈话——双方达成协议,如果以色列同意充当美国在近东的登陆航空母舰(当时是这样称呼的),那么军工复合体和杰克逊将支持以色列。

赫尔曼非常乐意做出这样的安排,因为当时的哈德逊研究所是一个犹太复国主义组织,也是摩萨德的训练基地。

我的一位同事是乌兹·阿拉德。我们一起去过亚洲很多次。随后几年,乌兹成为内塔尼亚胡的顾问和摩萨德负责人。

所以,在美国战略制定的时候,我算是旁听了一番。

以色列将成为美国的代言人,事实上,它一直在协调美国对基地组织和瓦哈比派屠夫的支持。这些屠夫占领了叙利亚,现在正忙于屠杀基督徒、什叶派和阿拉维派。

你永远不会看到基地组织或叙利亚的“解放沙姆组织”(HTS)——无论你现在想怎么称呼它——对以色列有任何批评。反之亦然,双方一直保持着合作关系。

由此可见,美国期待着最终完成入侵伊拉克、攻击叙利亚、摧毁利比亚、支持摧毁黎巴嫩以及北非其他国家等目标已经多久了。

我们在过去一个月——或者应该说是过去两年——看到的是美国自二战以来长期战略的顶峰,即完全控制近东石油产区,使其成为美国的代理人,并由沙特阿拉伯和约旦国王等傀儡统治。

地缘政治与全球贸易

本·诺顿:迈克尔,你提出了许多有趣的观点。我想重点讨论两个主要问题:一是伊朗与欧亚大陆一体化的地缘政治,二是石油和石油美元体系。

我先从地缘政治说起。当然,当我们谈论石油美元时,我们应该记住,伊朗一直在以其他货币出售其石油和天然气,并推动去美元化。

但在讨论这个问题之前,我想谈谈伊朗不仅在支持西亚抵抗组织方面发挥的作用,而且在深化与中国和俄罗斯的政治和经济伙伴关系方面也发挥了作用,这是更广泛的欧亚伙伴关系的一部分。

有许多实体项目正在整合这些地区。

伊朗是中国“新丝绸之路”的核心。这条倡议最初由中国国家主席习近平于2013年提出,后来扩展为“一带一路”倡议。

伊朗在其中发挥着重要作用,它将东亚、中亚、伊朗连接到西亚。而美国一直在试图破坏这一进程。

伊朗还在俄罗斯主导的经济走廊中发挥着重要作用,该走廊从圣彼得堡经莫斯科,向南穿过里海,经伊朗到达印度。

这就是所谓的国际南北运输走廊(INSTC)。

因此,我们看到伊朗在挑战美元、挑战美国霸权以及寻求与欧亚大陆其他国家经济和政治一体化方面发挥了非常重要的作用。

您能否进一步谈谈这一点,以及为什么华盛顿的这些帝国主义规划者将其视为如此大的威胁?

迈克尔·赫德森:嗯,您刚才总结了我文章中引用的两张地图。

大约一个月前,伊朗刚刚建成了通往德黑兰的“一带一路”铁路。这是伊朗首次拥有一条从伊朗到中国的陆路走廊。

现在,“一带一路”走廊意味着他们正在避免走海路。

一百年来,美国和英国的军事政策一直建立在对海洋的控制之上,而对石油贸易的控制正是这一战略的一部分。

因为如果伊朗、沙特阿拉伯、科威特和其他产油国都装不下油轮,他们怎么出口石油呢?而像中国或印度这样的进口国又如何从近东获得石油呢?

中国的“一带一路”倡议,其目的是要一路穿过伊朗,然后一路延伸到大西洋,最终到达欧洲。

这条“一带一路”旨在横跨整个欧亚大陆,覆盖整个东半球。

如果美国能够征服并接管伊朗,这将干扰并阻碍中国的长途铁路建设——就像美国希望挑起印度和巴基斯坦之间的战争,从而切断两国的联系一样。

中国的“一带一路”倡议贯穿巴基斯坦[中巴经济走廊(CPEC)]。

因此,一方面,伊朗是中国通往欧洲陆路交通的关键。

正如您刚才指出的,关于俄罗斯:伊朗对俄罗斯南部边境构成军事威胁,因为如果美国能够在伊朗扶植一个附庸政权,或者将伊朗分裂成不同的民族群体,从而能够干扰俄罗斯向南的贸易走廊,进入印度洋,那么你就已经包围了俄罗斯,包围了中国,并且成功孤立了它们。

这就是当前的美国外交政策。如果你能够孤立那些不愿加入美国国际金融和贸易体系的国家,那么人们就会认为它们无法独立生存;它们太小了。

美国仍然生活在1955年在印度尼西亚举行的不结盟国家万隆会议的时代。当其他国家想要单打独斗时,它们的经济规模太小。

但今天,在现代历史上,你第一次有了欧亚大陆、俄罗斯、中国、伊朗以及其间所有邻国的选择。这些国家第一次足够强大,不需要与美国进行贸易和投资。

事实上,尽管美国及其在欧洲的北约盟友正在萎缩——它们是去工业化的、新自由主义的后工业经济体——但世界生产、制造和贸易的大部分增长都发生在中国,同时中国还控制着稀土、钴、甚至铝以及许多其他材料的原材料精炼。

因此,美国孤立俄罗斯、中国及其在金砖国家或上海合作组织的任何盟友的战略尝试最终只会使自己陷入孤立。它正在迫使其他国家做出选择。

特朗普上任并宣布其关税政策后,这一点就非常明确。他表示:“三个月后,我将征收毁灭性的高额关税,使你们,全球南方国家,全球大多数国家,的经济将陷入混乱,无法进入美国市场。”

但是,[特朗普说]:“我们有三个月的时间进行谈判,如果你们给予我们回报,我将把这些关税降至10%,这样就不会摧毁你们的经济。你们必须达成的协议之一是,同意美国的制裁,不与中国进行贸易,不在中国投资,不使用美元的替代品。”

中国正试图避免使用美元,就像俄罗斯不再能够使用美元一样,因为美国干脆没收了俄罗斯在西方持有的3000亿美元外汇储备,这些储备存放在布鲁塞尔,目的是管理俄罗斯的外汇,稳定其汇率,这正是世界各国央行的做法。

这很有意思。《金融时报》的头版文章报道说,现在欧洲国家,尤其是拥有第二大和第三大黄金储备的德国和意大利,已经请求:“你们能把黄金还给我们吗?自二战以来,我们把所有的黄金储备都放在纽约的美联储。”

美国的黄金存放在诺克斯堡,但其他国家的黄金储备存放在美联储银行的地下室,就在市中心大通曼哈顿银行对面。

其他国家现在意识到,在特朗普的领导下,如果他说:“嗯,欧洲一直在占我们的便宜;他们出口到我们的产品比我们卖给他们的多”——你知道,意大利和德国担心美国会说:“好吧,我们要把你们占我们便宜积累起来的黄金都抢走。”

所以,世界其他国家正在撤离美元。这反映了美国为孤立世界其他国家而采取的一切措施的效果,如果他们试图建立一种替代新自由主义金融资本主义的经济体系,如果他们试图建立工业社会主义——真正的工业资本主义正在向工业社会主义迈进,政府积极投资基础设施建设,而不是像玛格丽特·撒切尔那样将基础设施私有化。

其结果将是使美国陷入孤立,世界其他国家则各行其是,由于特朗普征收的高额关税,它们无法与美国进行贸易;由于美元本位制被掠夺性地武器化,它们不敢用美元进行贸易。自1971年美国放弃金本位以来,美元本位制一直是美国在整个美国国债本位制时代享受的免费午餐。

石油与美元

本·诺顿:迈克尔,你再次提出了很多很有道理的观点。

我想继续讨论石油、美元以及石油美元体系的问题。

现在,你提到了一些

在过去的几十年里,美国真正依赖石油出口和对石油贸易的控制,部分原因是为了试图减少其巨大的经常账户赤字——我的意思是,这仍然不太成功。美国拥有巨额的经常账户赤字,也就是与世界其他国家的贸易逆差。

但2020年代的不同之处在于,美国现在是世界上最大的石油出口国。它是世界上最大的石油生产国,也是最大的天然气生产国。

这是一个显著的变化。这主要是过去十年美国水力压裂技术的爆发式增长以及页岩油革命带来的发展。

因此,美国并不一定需要实际获得该地区所有的石油。

当然,美国化石燃料公司很想将西亚所有石油私有化,因为这些石油是国有的。

比如,我们谈到了伊朗总理穆罕默德·摩萨台,他在1953年美国中央情报局支持的政变中被推翻,此前他将伊朗石油国有化,并驱逐了美国和英国的石油公司。

1979年伊朗革命后,现任伊朗政府也将石油国有化,而伊朗政府实际上在经济中拥有很大的影响力,包括通过国有企业。

所以,美国当然很乐意将其私有化。但这并不一定是为了获得所有石油。

这是为了维护现有的金融秩序,而当前的金融秩序实际上是由石油支撑的,尤其是在1971年理查德·尼克松宣布美元与黄金脱钩之后。

然后,在1974年,尼克松派他的财政部长威廉·西蒙——来自所罗门兄弟公司的比尔·西蒙——来伊朗,他是一位债券专家。他负责美国国债交易部门,在华尔街大型投资银行所罗门兄弟公司(Salomon Brothers)交易美国国债。

1974年,他被派往吉达,在那里他们达成了一项协议,美国将保护沙特君主制,作为回报,沙特阿拉伯将以美元出售其所有石油,以维持全球对美元的需求。

这发生在欧佩克石油禁运一年后,当时全球南方国家表明,他们可以利用对石油的控制作为地缘政治工具,惩罚美国和西方国家对以色列的支持。

所以,我的意思是,所有这些历史在今天仍然具有现实意义。

现在,伊朗正在直接挑战石油美元体系。伊朗正在用人民币向中国出售石油。

伊朗也在与印度进行贸易,出售石油,并使用印度的货币里亚尔。印度也在使用其货币卢比,印度实际上是在用其农产品换取伊朗的石油。

那么,您能谈谈这个石油美元体系吗?为什么伊朗被视为对这个体系的重大挑战?这实际上意味着对美元本身全球主导地位的直接挑战。

迈克尔·赫德森:嗯,我提到过,美国最初的动机是控制近东石油。

我曾担任大通曼哈顿银行的国际收支经济学家,我代表美国石油行业做了一项完整的研究,计算了国际收支回报,以及“七姐妹”大型石油公司平均支出的美元。

在沙特阿拉伯、科威特和其他阿拉伯国家投资的平均美元仅需18个月就能收回。

石油是整个美国经济中最赚钱的投资,而且免税。

正如我提到的,美国最初的近东计划是,它认为自己拥有石油。随后,石油战争爆发了——而且不仅仅是一场石油战争——发生在1974年,以色列发动了1973年的战争,美国粮食价格也因此翻了两番。

嗯,你提到了(尼克松的财政部长)比尔·西蒙。赫尔曼·卡恩和我于1974年与比尔·西蒙会面,讨论美国应该采取什么样的应对石油公司的策略。

西蒙说:“我们已经向他们解释过了,他们可以随意定价石油。他们可以把价格翻两番。”

事实上,这让新泽西标准石油公司、索科尼石油公司(后来的美孚石油公司)和其他美国石油公司非常高兴,因为正如你所指出的,美国本身就是一个巨大的石油生产国。

当欧佩克国家将石油价格翻两番时,美国石油公司从他们自己和加拿大的石油生产中获得了巨额利润。

所以,比尔·西蒙告诉我,他已经向他们解释过了,他们可以随意定价石油;翻两番没问题。

但协议是,他们必须把从石油中赚取的所有积蓄——我不会称之为利润,因为它实际上是自然资源租金——保留在美国经济中。

协议规定,沙特阿拉伯和其他国家将出口石油换取美元;他们不会把这些美元从美国撤走。

他们会留下欧洲国家和其他国家购买其石油支付给他们的美元;他们会把这些美元主要投资于美国国债。

他们还可以购买美国股票和债券。

但他们无法像美国那样用欧洲货币进行外汇交易。欧佩克国家无法收购任何一家大型美国公司的控制权。

他们可以购买股票和债券,但他们必须将股市投资分散到整个市场。所以我认为沙特阿拉伯国王购买了道琼斯工业平均指数中每只股票10亿美元,以分散投资。

但他们的大部分资金都安全地存放在美国国债中。

所以,本质上,欧佩克的收入——我不会说是盈利,因为,再说一遍,它不是真正挣来的;而是非劳动收入——欧佩克从石油销售中获得的收入最终都流向了美国,其中大部分借给了美国政府。

嗯,美元的流入使美国能够做两件事。

一方面,作为国际收支的流入,它使美国能够继续将其军事支出用于海外,从而为其经济帝国提供军事支撑。

但它也为国内预算赤字提供了资金。外国央行通过持有美国国债,在很大程度上为美国自身的国内预算赤字提供资金。

因此,欧佩克国家实际上成了我在《超级帝国主义》一书中所描述的美国金融体系的俘虏。

因此,我会见了财政部的人员,基本上解释了我在《超级帝国主义》中所写的内容,即如何结束其他国家以黄金形式持有国际货币储备的做法,而是以购买美国国债的形式将其贷款给美国财政部作为储蓄工具,这实际上使得全世界的储蓄,即货币储蓄,都集中在华盛顿和纽约。

这种控制最初是为了控制石油贸易,将石油贸易武器化,后来发展成为对国际金融体系的控制,美元的盈余被石油贸易所抵消。

所以,贸易体系和金融体系之间的这种共生关系是美国军事政策的基础,我称之为超级帝国主义。

超级帝国主义

本·诺顿:是的,你50多年前就非常精辟地描述了超级帝国主义体系,而我们今天看到的是,伊朗和其他金砖国家正在挑战这一体系。

他们正在挑战美元的过度特权,并试图寻求替代方案。

所以,或许你可以多谈谈这场全球去美元化运动,以及伊朗在其中扮演的核心角色。

当然,这也是伊朗成为美国目标的原因之一。

迈克尔·赫德森:其实,伊朗并非核心,因为美国已经能够孤立伊朗。

伊朗国王被推翻后,美国立即对伊朗耍了个阴招——大通曼哈顿银行就是个例子。

伊朗像所有国家一样,通过发行外国债券积累了外债,并将美元汇给大通曼哈顿银行,用于支付债券持有人的股息。

美国财政部找到大卫·洛克菲勒,告诉他:“别把伊朗的钱汇出去,留着就行。” 于是,伊朗被认为违约,所有外债都到期了,美国扣押、没收了伊朗在美国境内的经济和金融资源。

后来,双方通过谈判归还了这些资源,因为根据国际法,所有这些都是非法的,但这并没有阻止美国,正如我们现在所看到的。

国王被推翻后,美国说:“我们必须动摇伊朗新政府的稳定。如果我们攫取其外汇储备,就会使其陷入瘫痪,造成混乱。我们治理世界的方式,就是制造混乱。”

在当今世界,这才是美国能向其他国家提供的唯一东西。它无法提供出口,也无法提供货币稳定。

美国能向世界提供的唯一东西,就是不要摧毁他们的经济,不要造成经济混乱,就像特朗普威胁要用关税来做的那样,以及他威胁要对任何试图创造美元替代品的国家采取的行动一样。

因此,出现了这种免费午餐:其他国家可以赚取美元,但他们必须把这些美元转借给美国。而美国,作为他们的银行家,必须持有所有美元,而银行家可以决定该付钱给谁,不该付钱给谁。

这是一个黑帮国家。正因为如此,它被称为黑帮国家。其他国家也担心美国会做什么,不仅是在唐纳德·特朗普领导下,还有它过去50年来一直在做的事情。它只是在没收、破坏稳定和推翻。

美国基本上已经向任何试图建立一个不受美国控制的国际贸易和投资体系的企图宣战,美国出于自身利益,想要从中获得所有收益,所有收入,而不仅仅是部分收益。

的。这是一个贪婪的帝国。

制裁与经济战

本·诺顿:是的,迈克尔,你提到的这一点非常重要,因为这实际上表明,美国在过去几十年里越来越频繁地滥用这些策略并非新鲜事。

如今,全球三分之一的国家都受到美国的制裁,这些制裁是单方面的,根据国际法是非法的。

当然,伊朗是1979年革命后首批受到制裁的国家之一。

我们知道,2022年,美国和欧盟扣押了价值3000亿美元和欧元的俄罗斯资产,这给世界敲响了警钟。

但实际上,伊朗是第一个试点案例。美国首先扣押了伊朗的资产,后来又扣押了委内瑞拉的资产,接着是阿富汗的资产,现在又扣押了俄罗斯的资产。

因此,伊朗一直是这些侵略性策略的首当其冲的目标,如今这些策略已变得如此司空见惯,以至于我们看到全球范围内对这一体系的反抗,甚至包括美国的长期盟友。

例如沙特阿拉伯和阿联酋,它们历史上一直是美国的附庸国,但看到俄罗斯、伊朗和委内瑞拉的遭遇,他们担心自己可能成为下一个。

迈克尔·赫德森:嗯,这正是影响沙特阿拉伯和阿拉伯国家在该地区政策的因素。

显然,阿拉伯人不喜欢以色列在加沙的所作所为。他们不喜欢种族清洗,不喜欢约旦河西岸的种族清洗,不喜欢针对巴勒斯坦人和其他阿拉伯人口的全面袭击。

但他们害怕代表伊朗采取行动。他们可能非常同情伊朗。这些国家的民众强烈反对以色列对阿拉伯国家实施的暴力,但这些国家的领导人面临着一个问题:沙特阿拉伯过去50年积累的所有储蓄都被美国财政部和美国银行扣为人质。

而美国银行本质上是财政部的爪牙。最重要的是,大通曼哈顿银行是一家指定代表财政部行事的银行。花旗银行在这方面更加独立。

所以你没有听到沙特阿拉伯及其周边产油国发出任何声音,因为他们害怕。他们意识到自己处境非常微妙。

他们建立的主权财富基金,所有这些资金都是为了资助自身未来的发展——如果你可以称他们为一种扭曲的发展——但他们的未来计划却被扣为人质,而且由于对美元的依赖,他们在政治上被削弱了。

你可以想象,其他国家也意识到了正在发生的事情,亚洲国家、全球南方国家,甚至像德国和意大利这样的欧洲国家,都说:“我们不想落入阿拉伯国家所陷入的陷阱,不仅我们的储蓄、美国国债、美国股票和债券,以及我们在美国的投资都被扣押,我们的黄金供应也被扣押在那里!”

现在全世界都在转向黄金。他们不敢持有美元。外国央行的美元持有量一直保持稳定,而黄金持有量却一直在上升。

许多外国官方黄金持有量没有记录在案。政府会持有持有黄金的公司的股票。你可以隐瞒他们的所作所为,这样他们就不会太明显地被暴露出正在抛售美元。

金融统计数据就像歌舞伎舞蹈一样,就像向各国投掷炸弹一样。

军工联合体

本·诺顿:迈克尔,我想谈谈军工联合体,因为你在这篇文章中提出的另一个非常重要但经常被忽略的观点是美国军事承包商如何从这些战争中获利——就像我们现在看到的美以与伊朗之间的“十二日战争”一样。

你指出,伊朗主要使用老式导弹。它倾尽所有旧导弹库存来攻击以色列,并试图摧毁以色列的防空系统。

现在,我们知道美国军事承包商一直在吹嘘美国提供给以色列的先进军事装备,例如“铁穹”系统、“大卫投石索”系统和“箭式”系统。

美国公司从帮助设计这些系统以及提供导弹和拦截器中获益。

因此,以色列花费了数百万美元试图击落这些伊朗本来就想销毁的老式导弹。

如果战争继续下去,显然会耗费以色列和美国越来越多的资源。

但正如你所指出的,这实际上是美国军工联合体从中获益,因为美国向许多国家提供的所谓“援助”实际上并非真正的援助;而是给予美国私人承包商的合同,然后

把这些军事装备交给以色列、埃及、日本、韩国和其他国家。

您能否进一步谈谈军工联合体在其中扮演的角色,以及它是如何从中获利的?

迈克尔·赫德森:嗯,这正是国会目前正在就共和党税法展开辩论的关键。军工联合体投入的巨额资金,导致其生产的武器基本上无法发挥作用。

我们在乌克兰看到了北约国家无力防御俄罗斯导弹。

我们在以色列看到了伊朗的“铁穹”防御系统很容易被突破。

几个月前,伊朗发射了两枚火箭弹,就证明了这一点。它警告以色列:“我们不想开战。我们不想伤害任何人,但我们只是想让你们知道,我们可以随时轰炸你们。所以我们要在这个特定地点投下一枚炸弹;把那里的所有人都赶出去;我们只是想让你们看看这招管用。试试能不能把我们击落。” 以色列真的投下了炸弹。

他们在伊拉克对美国也做了同样的事情,说:“你知道,我们真的不想在伊拉克和你们开战。在你们挑拨萨达姆·侯赛因对抗我们之前(在20世纪80年代的两伊战争中),我们在与伊拉克人的战斗中损失了一百万伊朗人。但你们应该知道,我们随时可以摧毁你们的美国基地。让我们给你们做个示范。这里有一个人口不多的基地。我们要轰炸它,所以把所有人都撤出去;我们不想让任何人受伤。我们将在某年某月某日轰炸你们。尽你们所能把我们击落。”嗖!他们炸了。美国无法击落他们。

显然,“铁穹”防御系统不起作用,美国的军事防御系统也不起作用。

特朗普总统刚刚站出来说:“我们将斥资1万亿美元在美国建造一个‘铁穹’防御系统,这将大幅增加美国的预算赤字。”

想象一下,花费一万亿美元复制伊朗和俄罗斯证明可以立即攻破的系统。

本·诺顿:迈克尔,这被称为“黄金穹顶”。埃隆·马斯克旗下的SpaceX等公司正准备获得美国政府的巨额合同。据估计,建造这个根本无法运作的“黄金穹顶”将耗资数千亿美元。

迈克尔·赫德森:当然,对特朗普来说,一切都是金子,而不是铁——我应该注意到这一点的——就像他特朗普大厦的门把手一样。

所以我们看到的是这种幻想。

军工联合体制造的武器并非真正用于战争。它们是用来交易或出售的武器。

而且,正如您所指出的,除了国会直接拨付巨额资金用于购买美国陆军、海军和海军陆战队的军备之外,美国还向韩国、日本等国提供外援,而这些外援最终都用于这些国家购买美国军备。

这笔钱并不包含在美国的军事预算中,实际上,这是通过后门为美国军工综合体提供资金,即通过资助美国的盟友购买美国的武器,这种做法同样行不通。

您一定想知道这些盟友现在在想什么,尤其是在欧洲,看到北约拒绝承认这样一个事实,即它想购买的美国武器以及它自己制造的欧洲武器根本无法抵御俄罗斯和伊朗的武器,这几乎令人尴尬。

美国的技术落后,因为军工复合体公司把他们投入的巨额资金和利润都花在了派发股息和购买自己的股票上。

他们并没有把这些钱花在研发上。他们所赚的每一美元,92% 都被用来支撑股价,而不是真正地制造武器。

因此,通过将其军事体系以及整个工业经济金融化,美国实际上已经实现了去工业化,几乎可以说是解除了自己的武装,与世界其他国家相比,其他国家实际上把军费花在了真正有用的武器上,这些武器的目的就是为了发挥作用,而不是仅仅为了盈利,为了抬高军工公司的股价。

本·诺顿:是的,我觉得这是一个很好的结束语。我们可以再聊一个小时,但应该留到下次再说。

迈克尔,对于想了解更多您作品的人,您有什么推荐吗?

迈克尔·赫德森:嗯,我有自己的网站 Michael-Hudson.com,我所有的文章都在上面,包括本刚才提到的那篇。所以你可以看到我对这一切的持续评论。

我的书《超级帝国主义》阐述了这一切的动态发展。

本·诺顿:迈克尔,一如既往,非常荣幸。感谢你今天加入我们,我们很快会再聊。

迈克尔·赫德森:嗯,这是一次及时的讨论。谢谢

Michael Hudson: The U.S. Empire’s Plan for Global Domination


Yves here. Get a cup of coffee. Below is another meaty discussion with Michael Hudson by Ben Norton, using the US-Israel war with Iran as a point of departure for the role of the Middle East in US hegemony.

As much as there is a great deal of terrific material in this talk, I have to continue to disagree with Hudson on the nature of the US dollar recycling understandings with Saudi Arabia during the oil shock of the 1970s. That framework was set not by Bill Simon of Treasury, but by Henry Kissinger and the State Department in negotiations with the Saudis, importantly its powerful oil minister Saud Al Faisal. Key documents, including detailed notes of important meetings, have been declassified and are on the State Department website. They make clear that the US Treasury was a secondary actor in these arrangements (for instance, they seldom participated in the talks by Kissinger and State with Saud Al Faisal and other top Saudi officials).

And Kissinger and his team framed their concern as how to “recycle” the dollar that the Saudis were piling up. The reason for the effort to persuade the Saudis to concentrate their buying in Treasuries was to forestall them from instead hoovering up US productive assets: interests in public and private companies, commercial real estate, farmland, banks (see Prince Al Waleed’s early 1990s rescue of the critically important Citibank, which plays a critical role as the US financial flagship serving payment needs for US multinationals and smaller exporters). Getting control of productive assets on a large scale would vest tremendous political power with the sheikdom.

I reject the thesis that the Saudis had much in the way of alternatives in the 1970s to reinvesting their dollars much of anywhere beyond the US (they did, as I have recounted, impressively bid up prime real estate in London, buying huge swathes of tony Mayfair). The US was the dominant global economy and even with the oil shock, had strong growth prospects. The US financial markets were the deepest, the most liquid, and the best regulated. US disclosures and investor protections like prohibitions against front-running and bid-rigging exceeded those of any other market at the time. There was no Euro back then, so the alternative would have been to invest in much smaller national markets like the UK or Germany, which has much less in the way of easily traded investments. As of 1984, when I was on a study for the world’s biggest foreign exchange trading desk, Citibank in London, the big currency “crosses” were against the dollar.


The US as the standout player in providing a safe regime for investors continued until easily the early 1990s, see Amar Bhide (who is regularly a contrary thinker and no naif; among other things, he ones ran a proprietary trading operation) in the Harvard Business Review in 1994 for confirmation.

The development of exchange-based markets for oil futures, starting in 1983 helped further cement the role of the dollar in the oil trade (keep in mind commodities traders like Philips Brothers, which acquired Salomon Brother but was then subject to a reverse takeover had been arranging private hedges before then).

Even though the 1970s negotiations with the Saudis did secure their agreement to keep their dollar holdings significantly in Treasuries, the continued role of the dollar as reserve currency depends on the US running sustained trade deficits, and not the oil trade. The big disproof of the petrodollar thesis is the very aggressive accumulation of large foreign exchange balances by China and Southeast Asian countries in the wake of the 1997 Asian crisis. These countries ex China had been subjected to the tender ministrations of the IMF and did not want that to happen again. So their manipulated their currencies to be comparatively cheap against the dollar so as to run sustained trade surpluses and accumulate a rainy day dollar assets hoard. That would enable them to intervene in a big way if they were ever again at risk of a currency crisis. This course of action clearly had nothing to do with the oil trade. Ditto Japan’s accumulation of large Treasury holdings during its 1980s period of manufacturing dominance and large trade surpluses with the US.

Originally published by Ben Norton at Geopolitical Economy Watch

You can read Michael Hudson’s underlying article here: War on Iran is fight for US unipolar control of world.

Introduction

BEN NORTON: Why is the United States so concerned about Iran?

US President Donald Trump admitted that what Washington wants is regime change in Tehran, to overthrow the Iranian government.

Trump backed a war on Iran in June, in which both the US and Israel directly bombed Iranian territory.

Trump claimed that he brokered a ceasefire after what he calls the 12 Day War that the US and Israel waged against Iran. But it’s very difficult to believe that this ceasefire will hold.

Especially considering that Trump said the same in January. He claimed to broker a ceasefire in Gaza, but then in March, two months later, Israel started the war again, after Trump had given Israel the green light to violate the ceasefire that he helped to broker.

So it’s very difficult for Iranian officials to believe that the ceasefire will truly hold. And even if it does hold in the short term, the reality is that the US government has been waging a kind of political war and an economic war against Iran for many decades, going back to 1953, when the US carried out a coup that overthrew Iran’s democratically elected Prime Minister Mohammad Mosaddegh and installed a pro-US dictator, Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi.

So why is this? What does Washington want to get out of its never-ending political and economic war on Iran?

To try to answer this question, I interviewed the renowned economist Michael Hudson, who has written many books and is an expert on global political economy.

Michael Hudson published an article in which he outlines the economic and political reasons for this war on Iran, and he posits that this is part of the attempt by the US empire to impose a unipolar order on the world, like we saw in the 1990s, when the US was the only superpower and it could impose its political and economic will on almost all countries on Earth.

Iran was one of the very few countries that was actually resisting US unipolar hegemony. And today we see, as the world is more and more multipolar, Iran plays an important role as a BRICS member, and as a supporter of resistance groups.

Iran is pushing for a more multipolar world, in opposition to the US empire’s unipolarity, as the economist Michael Hudson describes in this essay.

Hudson wrote:

What is at stake is the US attempt to control the Middle East and its oil as a buttress of US economic power, and to prevent other countries from moving to create their own autonomy from the US-centered neoliberal order administered by the IMF, World Bank, and other institutions to reinforce US unipolar power.

In our discussion today, Michael connects all of the different factors involved in this conflict, including the oil and gas and other resources in West Asia (in the so-called Middle East); including the role of the US dollar and the petrodollar system; and how Iran, as a member of BRICS, and many other Global South countries, are de-dollarizing and seeking alternatives to the dollar.

We also talk about the geopolitics of the region, the trade routes and interconnectivity among China, Iran, and Russia, as part of a project of Eurasian integration; we talk about the geopolitical goals of the US and Israel; and much, much more.

Here is an excerpt of our conversation, and then we’ll go straight to the interview:

MICHAEL HUDSON: What we have seen in the last month — or I should say the last two years actually — is the culmination of the long strategy that America has had ever since World War II, to take complete control of the Near Eastern oil lands and make them proxies of the United States, under client rulers, such as Saudi Arabia and the king of Jordan.

Iran represents a military threat to Russia’s southern border, because if the United States could put a client regime in Iran, or break up Iran into ethnic groups who would be able to interfere with Russia’s corridor of trade southwards, into access to the Indian Ocean, well, then you have boxed in Russia, you have boxed in China, and you have managed to isolate them.

That is the current American foreign policy. If you can isolate countries that do not want to be part of the American international financial and trade system, then the belief is that they cannot exist by themselves; they are too small.

America is still living back in the epoch of the 1955 Bandung Conference of Non-Aligned nations in Indonesia. When other countries wanted to go alone, they were too economically small.

But today, for the first time in modern history, you have the option of Eurasia, of Russia, China, Iran, and all of the neighboring countries in between. For the first time, they are large enough that they do not need trade and investment with the United States.

In fact, while the United States and its NATO allies in Europe are shrinking — they are de-industrialized, neoliberal, post-industrial economies — most of the growth in world production, manufacturing, and trade has occurred in China, along with the control of the raw materials refining, such as rare earths, but also cobalt, even aluminum, and many other materials in China.

So America’s strategic attempt to isolate Russia, China, and any of their allies in BRICS or the Shanghai Cooperation Organization ends up isolating itself. It is forcing other countries to make a choice.

That is the only thing that America has to offer other countries in today’s world. It can’t offer them exports. It can’t offer them monetary stability.

The only thing that America has to offer the world is to refrain from destroying their economy and causing economic chaos, such as Trump has threatened to do with his tariffs, and what he has threatened to do to any country trying to create an alternative to the dollar.

Hence this free lunch, where other countries can earn dollars, but they have to re-lend them to the United States. And the United States, as their banker, has to hold it all, and the banker may just decide whom to pay and whom not to pay.

It’s a gangster. It has been called a gangster state, for just such reasons. And other countries are afraid of what the United States can do, not only under Donald Trump, but what it has been doing for the last 50 years. It is simply confiscating, and destabilizing, and overthrowing.

America has basically declared war against any attempt to create an international trade and investment system that the United States does not control, in its own self-interest, wanting all of the earnings from it, all of the revenue from it, not just part of it. It’s a greedy empire.


Interview

BEN NORTON: Michael, thanks for joining me. It’s always a real pleasure having you.

Let’s talk about this article you wrote, in which you argue that the war on Iran is part of an attempt by the United States to impose its unipolar hegemony on the world.

We see that we’re living in more and more of a multipolar world, and Iran has played an important part of the multipolar project as a member of BRICS, as a member of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, as a partner of China and Russia. Iran has also been pushing for de-dollarization of the global financial system.

Talk about how you see the war on Iran — which didn’t start under Donald Trump, this goes back many years — and how you see it in particular as an economist.

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, the war on Iran started in 1953, when the United States and MI6 overthrew the elected Prime Minister [Mohammad Mosaddegh], and the reason he was overthrown was because he wanted to nationalize the oil reserves of Iran. The United States has always viewed Iran as part of the Near Eastern oil Gulf.

American foreign policy, in terms of weaponizing its foreign trade, has always been based on two commodities: food grains — the ability to stop exporting food to countries that oppose US policy, as the United States stopped exporting grain to China under Mao — and oil.

For a century, the United States has focused on control of the oil as the basis of its international trade balance — it’s the largest contributor to the trade balance — and of its ability to sanction the rest of the world, by turning off the oil supply, and thereby turning off the electricity, turning off the gas, turning off the home heating, of countries that break away from US policy.

When I worked for the Hudson Institute in the early 1970s, Herman Kahn brought me to a meeting with some generals, and they were discussing what to do with Iran in case, under the shah, Iran should ever once again try to assert its autonomy and go its own way.

Iran has always been the strongest power in the entire Near East, and the capstone to controlling the Near East. You cannot fully control the Near Eastern oil — Syria, Iraq, the rest of the countries there — without controlling Iran too, because of the size of its population and the strength of its economy.

It was a very interesting meeting. Herman Kahn, the model for Dr. Strangelove, discussed how to break up Iran into its various ethnicities, five or six ethnicities, in the case that it should, take a policy independent from the United States.

The United States’ concern already in the 1970s, 50 years ago, was, “What do we do if other countries do not follow the kind of international world order that we are, organizing?”

Herman said that he thought the crisis point that was going to break up in international news was going to be Balochistan, at Iran’s border with Pakistan. The Balochis are a distinct population, just as the Azerbaijanis, Azeris, the Kurds.

Iran is a composite of many ethnic groups, including a very large Jewish group there. It is a multi-ethnic society, and the United States’ strategy, in case there was a war against Iran, was to play on these ethnicities — just as similar plans were drawn up for Russia, how to break it into separate ethnic parts; and China, how to break China into ethnic parts, at such point as America wants to take them on.

And the reason this ethnic division was developed was, as a democracy, especially in the 1970s, it became very apparent that the United States never again could field an army for invasion, as it was doing in Vietnam.

At the time I sat in on this meeting, late 1974 I think, or early ’75, there were demonstrations. It was obvious that there could never be a military draft again.

How was the United States to exert its international power without military power? It had military bases all over the world; it spent more on military than any other country.

The entire US balance of payments deficit was military spending abroad, and yet it couldn’t go to war. It had to use proxies.

This was the time when, in addition to the discussions that I sat in on how to use ethnicities in countries that we declared war on, as opponents; America decided to create the largest military base in the Near East, and that was Israel.

Henry Jackson, the pro-war, Military-Industrial Complex’s senator, met with Herman Kahn — I actually was in Herman’s office, listening to the phone call, when it came through — and the agreement was that the Military-Industrial Complex and Jackson would back Israel, if Israel agreed to act as America’s landed aircraft carrier in the Near East, as it was put at the time.

Herman very gladly made that arrangement, because the Hudson Institute at that time was a Zionist organization, and it was a training ground for Mossad.

One of my colleagues was Uzi Arad. We made a number of trips together to Asia. And Uzi became Netanyahu’s advisor and head of Mossad in subsequent years.

So I sort of sat in at the time when the American strategy was being outlined.

Israel was going to be America’s face, and indeed has been coordinating America’s backing of Al-Qaeda and the Wahhabi butchers who have taken over Syria, and are now busy killing the Christians, killing the Shiites, killing the Alawites.

And you will never see any criticism of Israel by Al-Qaeda, or the group [Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)] in Syria, whatever you want to call it there now. And vice versa, there has always been a working relationship.

So this gives some background as to how long the United States has anticipated the day when it would try to finally capstone its invasion of Iraq, its attack on Syria, its destruction of Libya, its backing of the destruction of Lebanon, and other countries, in North Africa, etc.

What we have seen in the last month — or I should say the last two years actually — is the culmination of the long strategy that America has had ever since World War II, to take complete control of the Near Eastern oil lands and make them proxies of the United States, under client rulers, such as Saudi Arabia and the king of Jordan.

Geopolitics and Global Trade

BEN NORTON: You raised so many interesting points, Michael. I want focus on two main issues here: one is the geopolitics of Iran’s integration with Eurasia, and the other is oil and the petrodollar system.

I will start with the geopolitics. Of course, when we talk about the petrodollar, we should keep in mind that Iran has been selling its oil and gas in other currencies, and pushing for de-dollarization.

But before we get to that, I want to talk about the role that Iran has played not only in supporting resistance groups in West Asia, but also in deepening its political and economic partnership with China and Russia, as part of a larger Eurasian partnership.

There are numerous physical projects integrating these regions.

Iran is at the heart of China’s New Silk Road. This was originally launched by Chinese President Xi Jinping in 2013, and then it expanded into the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).

Iran is an important part in that, connecting East Asia, through Central Asia, through Iran, into West Asia. And the US has really tried to disrupt that.

Iran also plays an important role in a Russian-led economic corridor that connects from St. Petersburg, through Moscow, down through the Caspian Sea, through Iran, and to India.

This is known as the International North-South Transport Corridor, the INSTC.

So we have seen that Iran has played a very important role challenging the US dollar, challenging US hegemony, and also seeking economic and political integration with other countries in Eurasia.

Can you speak more about this and why these imperial planners in Washington see this as so much of a threat?

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, you just summarized the two maps that I included in my article.

About a month ago, Iran just completed its Belt and Road railroad, that goes all the way to Tehran. For the first time, there is a land corridor from Iran to China.

Now, the Belt and Road corridor means they’re avoiding going by sea.

American and British military policy has been based for a hundred years on control of the seas, and control of the oil trade was part of that strategy.

Because if Iran, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and the other oil-producing countries can’t load up tankers with oil, how are they going to be able to export? And how can importers such as China, or India, obtain oil from the Near East?

Well, with China’s Belt and Road Initiative, its intention was to go all the way through, via Iran, and then proceed on all the way to the Atlantic Ocean, to Europe.

This Belt and Road was to span the entire Eurasian continent, the entire eastern hemisphere.

And if the United States could conquer Iran and take it over, that would interfere with China’s long-distance railroad development, and it would block it — just as the United States is hoping to goad India and Pakistan into some kind of fight that would interrupt China’s Belt and Road Initiative that goes through through Pakistan [the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC)].

So, on the one hand, Iran is the key to China’s overland trantransportation to Europe.

And as you just pointed out, with Russia: Iran represents a military threat to Russia’s southern border, because if the United States could put a client regime in Iran, or break up Iran into ethnic groups who would be able to interfere with Russia’s corridor of trade southwards, into access to the Indian Ocean, well, then you have boxed in Russia, you have boxed in China, and you have managed to isolate them.

That is the current American foreign policy. If you can isolate countries that do not want to be part of the American international financial and trade system, then the belief is that they cannot exist by themselves; they are too small.

America is still living back in the epoch of the 1955 Bandung Conference, of Non-Aligned nations, in Indonesia. When other countries wanted to go alone, they were too economically small.

But today, for the first time in modern history, you have the option of Eurasia, of Russia, China, Iran, and all of the neighboring countries in between. For the first time, they are large enough that they do not need trade and investment with the United States.

In fact, while the United States and its NATO allies in Europe are shrinking — they are de-industrialized, neoliberal, post-industrial economies — most of the growth in world production, manufacturing, and trade has occurred in China, along with the control of the raw materials refining, such as rare earths, but also cobalt, even aluminum, and many other materials in China.

So America’s strategic attempt to isolate Russia, China, and any of their allies in BRICS or the Shanghai Cooperation Organization ends up isolating itself. It is forcing other countries to make a choice.

This was made very clear immediately upon Trump taking the presidency and announcing his tariff policy, saying, “In three months, I’m going to impose such devastatingly high tariffs that you, the Global South countries, the Global Majority countries, your economies will be in chaos without having access to the American market”.

But, [Trump said], “We have three months to negotiate, and, if you give us a give-back, I will roll back these tariffs to 10%, so that it won’t devastate your economies. And one of the agreements that you have to make is you’ll agree to America’s sanctions not to trade with China, not to invest in China, not to use alternatives to the US dollar”.

China is trying to avoid using dollars, just as Russia no longer is able to use dollars, because the United States has simply confiscated $300 billion of Russia’s foreign exchange holdings in the West, that it held in Brussels, in order to manage its foreign exchange, to stabilize its exchange rate, which is what central banks do throughout the world.

Well, it’s very interesting. The Financial Times had a front page article [reporting] that now European countries, especially Germany and Italy, which have the second- and third-largest gold holdings, have asked, “Could you please [give us our gold back]? We have, since World War II, we have left all of our gold supplies at the Federal Reserve in New York”.

America’s gold is in Fort Knox, but other countries keep their gold reserves in the basement of the Federal Reserve Bank, right across from Chase Manhattan bank in the downtown area.

And other countries now realize that, under Trump, if he says, “Well, Europe has been really taking advantage of us; they have been exporting more to us than we’ve sold to them” — you know, Italy and Germany are worried that somehow America will say, “Well, we’re just gonna grab all of this gold that you’ve built up by taking advantage of us”.

So you’re having the rest of the world pull back from the dollar. This reflects the effect of everything that the United States is trying to do to isolate the other parts of the world from contact with the United States, if they try to have an alternative economic system to neoliberal finance capitalism, if they try to have industrial socialism — which is really industrial capitalism on the way to being industrial socialism, with active government investment in basic infrastructure, instead of privatizing the infrastructure Margaret Thatcher style.

The effect will be to leave the United States isolated, and all the rest of the world going its own way, unable to trade with the United States because of the high tariffs that Trump has imposed, and afraid to trade in dollars because of the predatory weaponization of the dollar standard, which had been America’s free lunch under the whole epoch of US Treasury bill standard, since America went off gold in 1971.

Oil and the Dollar

BEN NORTON: Again, Michael, you raised so many good points there.

I want to stick with this issue of oil and the US dollar, and the petrodollar system.

Now, you have mentioned a few times that the US really relies on exports of oil and control of the oil trade, partially to try to reduce its enormous current account deficit — which, I mean, it still is not very successful. The US runs massive current account deficits — that is, trade deficits with the rest of the world.

But what is something that is different in the 2020s is that the US is now the world’s largest exporter of oil. It’s the largest producer of oil on Earth, and the largest producer of gas.

So that’s a significant difference. That’s largely a development in the past decade due to the explosion in fracking in the US, and also the shale oil revolution.

So, it’s not necessarily that the US needs to physically get access to all of the oil in the region.

Although, of course, US fossil fuel corporations would love to privatize all of the oil in West Asia, that is state-owned.

So for instance, we talked about Mohammad Mosaddegh, the prime minister of Iran who was overthrown in the 1953 CIA-backed coup, after he nationalized the oil in Iran and kicked out US and British oil companies.

Well, the current Iranian government, following the Iranian Revolution in 1979, also nationalized the oil, and the Iranian state does actually have a lot of influence in the economy, including through state-owned enterprises.

So, of course the US would love to privatize that. But this is not really necessarily about getting access to all that oil.

This is about maintaining the current financial order, which is really backed by oil, especially after Richard Nixon in 1971 took the dollar off of gold.

Then, in 1974, Nixon sent his treasury secretary, William Simon — Bill Simon, from Salomon Brothers — who was a bond expert. He ran the Treasuries desk, trading US government debt at Salomon Brothers, this major Wall Street investment bank.

He was sent to Jeddah in 1974, where they brokered a deal saying that the US would protect the Saudi monarchy, and, in return, Saudi Arabia would sell all of its oil in dollars, maintaining global demand for the US dollar.

This came one year after the OPEC oil embargo, in which the countries in the Global South showed that they could use their control of oil as a geopolitical tool to punish the US and the West for their support of Israel.

So I mean, all this history is still so relevant today.

Now, Iran is directly challenging that petrodollar system. Iran is selling its oil to China in Chinese yuan, the renminbi.

Iran is also trading with India, selling its oil, and it is using its currency, the rial. India is also using its currency, the rupee, and India is essentially trading its agricultural goods for Iranian oil.

So can you talk about this petrodollar system, and why Iran is seen as such a major challenge to this system? And really what that means is a direct challenge to the global dominance of the US dollar itself.

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, I mentioned that the original drive of the United States was to control Near Eastern oil.

I was the balance of payments economist for Chase Manhattan Bank, and I did a whole study on behalf of the US oil industry to calculate the balance of payments returns, and the average dollar spent by the Seven Sisters, the big oil companies.

The average dollar invested in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, other Arab countries, was recovered in only 18 months.

Oil was the most profitable investment in the entire US economy, and it was tax free.

Now, the original plan, as I mentioned, of the US in the Near East, it viewed as having oil. Then came the oil war — and it was more than an oil war — in 1974, after Israel waged the 1973 war, and after the United States quadrupled its grain prices.

Well, you mentioned [Nixon’s Treasury Secretary] Bill Simon. Herman Kahn and I went to meet with Bill Simon in 1974, to discuss what should America’s strategy be with the oil companies.

Simon said, “We’ve explained to them that, they can charge whatever they want for oil. They can quadruple the prices”.

In fact, that made Standard Oil of New Jersey, Socony [later Mobil], and the other American oil companies very happy, because, as you point out, America was itself a huge oil producer.

When the OPEC countries quadrupled the price of oil, that made the American oil companies immensely profitable on their and Canada’s oil production.

So, Bill Simon told me that he had explained to them that they could charge whatever they wanted for the oil; quadrupling was okay.

But the agreement was they had to keep all of their savings from what they made off this oil — I won’t call it profit, because it’s really natural resource rent — they had to keep their rents in the United States economy.

The deal was that Saudi Arabia and other countries would export their oil for dollars; they would not remove these dollars from the United States.

They would leave the dollars that they were paid by European countries, by other countries buying their oil; they would invest it primarily in US Treasury securities, and they could also buy US stocks and bonds.

But they could not do what America did with its foreign exchange of European currency, for instance. The OPEC countries could not buy control of any major American company.

They could buy stocks and bonds, but they had to spread the investment in the stock market over the market as a whole. So I think the king of Saudi Arabia bought a billion dollars of every stock in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, to spread it all out.

But most of their money was kept safely in US Treasury securities.

So, essentially, the OPEC revenue — I won’t say earnings because, again, it wasn’t really earned; it’s unearned income — OPEC revenue from the oil sales all ended up in the United States, most of it lent to the United States government.

Well, that inflow of dollars is what enabled the United States to do two things.

One, as a balance of payments inflow, it enabled the United States to continue spending its military overseas spending abroad, in order to have the military fist behind its economic empire.

But it also funded the domestic budget deficit. Foreign central banks were largely funding America’s own domestic budget deficit, by their holding of American Treasury bills.

So the OPEC countries essentially became captive parts of the American financial system that I had described in my book Super Imperialism.

So I met with the Treasury Treasury people, basically explaining what I had written about in Super Imperialism, about how ending other countries’ practice of holding their international monetary reserves in gold, but holding them in loans to the US Treasury in the form of buying Treasury bonds as the vehicle for their savings, essentially made the savings of the entire world, the monetary savings, all centralized in Washington and New York.

That control of what began as control of the oil trade, to weaponize the trade in oil, became control of the international financial system with the dollar’s surpluses being thrown off by the oil trade.

So you had that symbiosis between the trade system and the financial system as the basis for American military policy, and what I called super imperialism.

Super Imperialism

BEN NORTON: Yeah, and what you described over 50 years ago, so brilliantly, as the system of super imperialism, what we’re seeing today is that Iran and other BRICS countries are challenging that system.

They are challenging the exorbitant privilege of the US dollar and trying to seek alternatives.

So maybe you can speak more about this global de-dollarization movement and how Iran plays a central role in this.

And that is one of the reasons, of course, why it’s a target of the US.

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, Iran really wasn’t central to it, because the United States has been able to isolate Iran.

As soon as the shah was overthrown, the United States played a dirty trick on Iran — Chase Manhattan Bank did.

Iran had a foreign debt — like every country has, by issuing foreign bonds — and it sent the dollars to the Chase Manhattan Bank, to pay the bond holders their dividends.

The Treasury went to David Rockefeller and told him, “Don’t send this Iranian money along. Just hold it there”. And so Iran was considered to be in default, and the entire foreign debt came due, and America seized, confiscated, Iranian economic and financial resources in the United States.

They later negotiated to give it back, because all of this was illegal under international law, but that has never stopped the United States, as we’re seeing right now.

After the shah was overthrown, the United States said, “We’ve got to destabilize the the new Iranian government, and if we grab its foreign reserves, that will cripple it and cause chaos, and that’s how we run the world, by causing chaos”.

That is the only thing that America has to offer other countries in today’s world. It can’t offer them exports. It can’t offer them monetary stability.

The only thing that America has to offer the world is to refrain from destroying their economy and causing economic chaos, such as Trump has threatened to do with his tariffs, and what he has threatened to do to any country trying to create an alternative to the dollar.

Hence this free lunch, where other countries can earn dollars, but they have to re-lend them to the United States. And the United States, as their banker, has to hold it all, and the banker may just decide whom to pay and whom not to pay.

It’s a gangster. It has been called a gangster state, for just such reasons. And other countries are afraid of what the United States can do, not only under Donald Trump, but what it has been doing for the last 50 years. It is simply confiscating, and destabilizing, and overthrowing.

America has basically declared war against any attempt to create an international trade and investment system that the United States does not control, in its own self-interest, wanting all of the earnings from it, all of the revenue from it, not just part of it. It’s a greedy empire.

Sanctions and Economic Warfare

BEN NORTON: Yeah, and what you’re getting at, Michael, is such an important point, because essentially what this shows is that these tactics that the US has abused more and more frequently in the past few decades are not entirely new.

Today, one-third of all countries on Earth are under US sanctions, which are unilateral; they are illegal under international law.

But of course, Iran was one of the first countries to be sanctioned, after its revolution in 1979.

And we know that in 2022, the US and the EU seized $300 billion dollars and euros worth of Russian assets, and that was a huge wake-up call to the world.

But, actually, Iran was the kind of first test case. It was the US that seized Iran’s assets first, and then they later seized Venezuela’s assets, and then Afghanistan’s assets, and now Russia.

So Iran was always the first country to be targeted by these aggressive tactics, and now they have become so commonplace that we have seen a kind of global rebellion against this system, even by longtime US allies.

Like for instance Saudi Arabia and the UAE, which historically have been US client states, but they see what has happened to Russia, Iran, and Venezuela, and they’re worried that they could be next.

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, this is exactly what is shaping Saudi Arabian and Arab policy in the region.

Obviously, the Arabs don’t like what Israel is doing in Gaza.They don’t like the ethnic cleansing, and the ethnic cleansing of the West Bank, and the whole attack on the Palestinians and other Arab populations.

But they’re afraid of acting on behalf of Iran.They may be very sympathetic with it. The populations of these countries are very much against the violence that Israel is waging against the Arab states, but the leaders of these countries have a problem: All of the savings that Saudi Arabia has accumulated for the last 50 years are held as hostage in the US Treasury and in the US banks.

And the US banks, essentially, are arms of the Treasury. Most of all, Chase Manhattan was a designated bank that would act on behalf of the Treasury. Citibank was more independent, of that.

So you have not heard a peep out of Saudi Arabia and its neighboring oil-producing countries, because they’re afraid. They realize that they’re in a very delicate position.

All of this money that their sovereign wealth fund that they have built up to finance their own future development — if you can call what they’re doing, it’s a twisted development — but their plans for the future are held hostage, and they’ve been politically neutralized, because of this exposure to the US dollar.

Well, you can imagine that other countries realize what is happening, and Asian countries, the Global South countries, and even European countries like Germany and Italy, say, “We don’t want to be stuck in the same trap that the Arab countries are stuck in, where not only our savings, and Treasury securities, and US stocks and bonds, and our investments in the United States are held hostage; our gold supply is being held there!”

And the whole world is now moving toward gold.They’re afraid to hold dollars. Dollar holdings by foreign central banks have been at just stable, while the gold holdings have been going up.

And many foreign official gold holdings are held off the books. The government will hold stock in a company that holds gold. You can conceal what they’re doing, so they won’t very conspicuously being shown to be dumping the dollar.

There’s a kind of Kabuki dance going on in financial statistics, as well as in dropping bombs on countries.

The Military-Industrial Complex

BEN NORTON: Michael, I want to talk about the military-industrial complex, because another point that you made in this article which is very important and is often left out is how US military contractors profit from these wars — like we saw in what they’re now calling the 12-Day War, between the US/Israel and Iran.

You pointed out that Iran was mostly using its older missiles. It was emptying its stockpile of old missiles to hit Israel, and trying to overwhelm Israel’s air defense system.

Now, we know that US military contractors have boasted about the advanced military equipment the US has given to Israel, like the Iron Dome, the David’s Sling system, and the Arrow system.

US corporations have benefited from helping to design these systems, and from providing the missiles and interceptors.

So Israel has spent many millions of dollars trying to shoot down these old Iranian missiles that Iran wanted to get rid of anyway.

If the war had continued, it would obviously have bled more and more resources of Israel and the US.

But as you point out, this is actually something that the military-industrial complex in the US benefits from, because what the US calls the “aid” that it gives to many countries is actually not really aid; it’s actually contracts given to US private contractors, and then they give that military equipment to Israel, or to Egypt, or to Japan, South Korea, and other countries.

So can you talk more about the role of the military-industrial complex, and how it has profited from all of this?

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, this is the key to the debate in Congress that is now occurring over the Republican tax law. The enormous amount of money that is spent on the military-industrial complex that basically, the weapons it makes do not work.

We’ve seen in Ukraine the inability of the NATO countries to defend against the Russian missiles.

We’ve seen in Israel that the Iron Dome is very easily penetrated by Iran.

And Iran, already several months ago, demonstrated this when it sent two sets of rockets. It warned Israel, “We don’t want to go to war. We don’t want to hurt anybody, but we just want to show you that we can bomb you whenever you want, and so we’re gonna drop a bomb on this particular location; get everybody out of there; we’re just gonna show you that it works. Try to shoot us down”. And they dropped it.

They did the same with the United States, in Iraq, saying, “You know, we don’t want to really have to go to war with you in Iraq. We lost a million Iranians fighting the Iraqis, when you were setting Saddam Hussein against us before [in the Iran-Iraq War in the 1980s], but you should know that we can wipe out your American bases whenever we want. Let’s give you a demonstration. Here’s a base that’s not very populated. We’re going to bomb it, so get everybody out; we don’t want anyone to get hurt. We’re gonna bomb you on such and such a date. Do everything you can to shoot us down”. Whoosh! They bombed it. America could not shoot them down.

Well, the Iron Dome obviously doesn’t work, nor does the American military defense work.

Well, President Trump has just come out and said, “We’re going to vastly increase the US budget deficit by creating an Iron Dome in the United States for $1 trillion”.

Well, imagine spending a trillion dollars replicating the system that Iran and Russia show that they can penetrate right away.

BEN NORTON: Michael, this is called the Golden Dome. And Elon Musk’s companies like SpaceX are poised to get massive US government contracts. It is estimated that hundreds of billions of dollars in total will be spent to make this Golden Dome that won’t even work.

MICHAEL HUDSON: Of course, for Trump, everything is gold, not iron — I should have noticed that — just like the doorknobs in his Trump Towers, of course.

So we’re seeing this fantasy.

What the military-industrial complex makes aren’t arms to actually be used in war. They’re arms to be traded or sold.

And, as as you pointed out, in addition to the enormous amount of direct Congressional spending on buying arms for the US Army, Navy, and Marines, on the military, the United States gives foreign aid to South Korea, Japan, and other countries, and this foreign aid is spent by their own purchases of US military arms.

This is not included in the American military budget, but in effect, it’s financing the military-industrial complex through the back door, by giving money to America’s allies to buy America’s arms, that also don’t work.

Well, you must wonder what these allies are thinking now, especially in Europe, it’s almost embarrassing to see NATO refusing to acknowledge the fact that the American arms that it wants to buy, and the European arms that it has made, simply are not able to defend themselves against Russian and Iranian arms.

American technology is backwards, because the military-industrial complex companies have taken all this enormous money that they’ve paid, their profits that they’ve made, by paying out dividends and buying their own stocks.

They haven’t spent it on research and development. 92% of every dollar they’ve got is recycled into supporting their stock prices, not in actually making arms.

So, by financializing its military system, along with the industrial economy as a whole, the United States has essentially de-industrialized itself, and you could almost say disarmed itself, against the rest of the world, that actually spends their military money on arms that work, arms that are intended to work, not simply to make profits, to increase the stock prices of military-industrial companies.

BEN NORTON: Yeah, I think that’s actually a great note to end on. We could go on for another hour, but we should save that for another time.

Michael, is there anything you would like to recommend for people who want to find more of your work?

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, I have my website, Michael-Hudson.com, and all of my articles are on the website, including the one that Ben has just mentioned. So you can see my ongoing commentary on all of this.

And my book Super Imperialism explained the whole unfolding dynamic of all of this.

BEN NORTON: As always, Michael, it’s a real pleasure. Thanks for joining us today, and we’ll talk again soon.

MICHAEL HUDSON: Well, it was a timely discussion.Thanks for having me.

9 COMMENTS
  1. vao

    The spell checker you use delivers some funny corrections:

    […] accumulate a rainy day dollar assets horde

    Hoard, of course. But the image of a large troop of aggressive dollar assets is quite amusing.

    Reply ↓
      1. vao

        Well, this typo appears in the introduction, not in Hudson’s interview. So the most probable cause is the spell checker having its own particular idea about which words are correct.

        Reply ↓
    1. JonnyJames

      Yeah, those massive and aggressive dollar assets – like China’s reserves.
      It’s the New Yellow Peril! The Asiatic Hordes are going to “flood” the market (Sorry for the silliness, but I have to be silly in order not to fall into depression :-)

      Reply ↓
  2. Matt Connors

    Read Michael Hudson! No matter how much you think you have a solid grasp of economics, finance and international relations, read Michael Hudson. Start with Superimperialism and you will likely find that what seemed like familiar history – the first half of the 20th Century – needs to be understood differently to account for the rise of American power. Read Michael Hudson and you will relearn how the IMF and World Bank and the rise of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency have cemented the US’ dominant role in the world economy. Read Michael Hudson to fully appreciate what America’s deindustrialization and indebtedness has done to our political life. Read Michael Hudson and you will see that chaos and destruction are not accidents of misguided US policy, but instead are the US policy itself. You can come into Michael Hudson’s work from many different directions, but do the reading! Thanks editors, for posting this piece here, and thanks Ben Norton for continuing to give Michael Hudson a forum to reach people.

    Reply ↓
  3. pjay

    Thank you for reposting this excellent overview. It is a useful compliment to the article on which their discussion is based. Ben is very good at asking the right questions and setting the context for Micheal’s key points. Among the most important of those are first, that the current chaos in the Middle East is not the result of a bunch of isolated historical accidents or eruptions of ancient ethnic tensions, but were *planned*. I am SO tired of hearing various versions of the “incompetence” argument, that the US always believes it can foster “democracy” and economic development in country A or B but just doesn’t understand its historical or ethnic or geopolitical “complexities,” blah blah blah. This chaos is part of a long-term plan, and as Michael points out, those with the “vision” have been around for a long time.

    Second, there are major economic interests behind this global vision. Their ideas may be deluded and prove disastrous in the long run, but over the years they have supported the “Israel as our unsinkable aircraft carrier” argument. But on this point I would add my own caveat. The Zionists running Israel, and their friends embedded throughout our foreign policy and national security establishment, have their own ideological interests. They are not just clueless dupes being used by “global capital.” They have used and manipulated US policy for their own ends as well. The “Israel lobby” is not just a cover for Wall Street. And just as the various criminal gangs, drug lords, fascist paramilitaries, and jihadists we have utilized in the past have had their own agency and used us as well in ways that have come back to bite us, so, too, do the Israelis. And blowback could really be a bitch in this case. I think it is useful to recognize that the interests of various factions that have converged to shape our policies in the Middle East are not identical and may well lead to some of those “unintended consequences” that the incompetence theorists are always talking about.

    Reply ↓
    1. JonnyJames

      I agree, as Michael Hudson shows, the interests are long-term and the policies long-term. There is, however, lots of individual incompetence in the past couple of US regimes. Both the Genocide Joe and DT2 regimes have their share of kakistocrats and idiot sycophants. But that is not what you are referring to.

      Andrei Martyanov, in a recent interview, said that the DT displays signs of mental illness. Anything he says should be dismissed as “gibberish”. So this sort of incompetence may well be mental illness.

      Reply ↓
      1. Lefty Godot

        Re: incompetence, yes, and I wonder how many of the bureaucrats implementing these “strategies” are really just running on mental fumes, kind of like, “Assume we are the rulers of the world forever—now act based on that.” Not to get too “invisible hand” about it, but is there even a strategy anymore in large swathes of the establishment? Or have we devolved from Herman Kahn evil genius types driving things to Ted Cruz type morons with their pudgy fists on the levers of powers?

        Reply ↓
      2. chris

        Mr. James, the entire US government is full of fools, sycophants, and the disturbed. If everything that Dr. Hudson described above is correct, then we have a leadership class who is dedicated to destroying the world rather than sharing it. I’m hard pressed to consider a more insane premise but I can’t find a better explanation for the likes of Vicky Nuland and her husband. Or, our dearly deposed Prince Hunter Biden. They will burn the world and charge the poor for the heat the fire gives.


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